Euro / Pound
Written by Toby Fischer
In late August Mr Watkins had found a property in Europe for
which he had a balance of 150,000 Euros to pay. At this time the Euro
reached 1.4900 to the pound, the property would have cost him
£100,671.14
When Mr Watkins came to make the final payment in late September, the
Euro had dropped back to 1.45, the result of which was a final price
of £103.448.28 - an additional cost of a staggering £2,777.14 in four
weeks.
Much of this loss could have been prevented by securing the rate with
a forward contract. This mechanism is especially useful when market
conditions are currently advantageous, but the currency is not
actually required until a date in the future.
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Updated 16/12/04
Sterling lost more ground against the dollar on
Friday, rattled after data in the previous session showed an
unexpectedly large British trade deficit.
Britain's goods trade gap with the rest of the world widened in
October to 5.3 billion pounds, its largest in 10 months, as imports
hit a record monthly high.
Worries about the size of the U.S. trade gap and the U.S. economy's
ability to attract investment flows to reduce it sent the dollar to
record lows early this week.
"We had a bit of a surprise on the trade data and there's an
increasing focus on deficits in the market. I don't think we'll pull
back much further though," said Mitul Kotecha, head of global foreign
exchange research at Calyon.
By 0835 GMT, sterling traded at $1.9080, down 0.8 percent from late
New York levels. Against the euro, the pound stood at 1.4423, down
slightly on the day.
Sterling has fallen sharply since hitting 12-year highs above $1.95
earlier this week, its best levels since Britain's currency crisis in
1992.
Recent upbeat British data had fuelled expectations of a further
interest rate hike in 2005 but the pound became overstretched and fell
with other currencies as investors took profits on their bets against
the long-suffering dollar, traders said.
On Thursday, the Bank of England left interest rates unchanged at 4.75
percent at its monthly meeting, as widely expected.
Home Secretary, or interior minister, David Blunkett, resigned after
UK trading hours on Wednesday and Blair quickly reshuffled his cabinet
to fill the position with former Education Secretary Charles Clarke.
News that Prime Minister Tony Blair had lost a key member of his
cabinet ahead of an election expected next year had little impact on
the pound.
Chancellor of the Exchequer Gordon Brown testifies before a
parliamentary treasury committee from 0915 GMT on his pre-budget
report earlier in December.
Sterling rose against the dollar and euro after data on Thursday
showed UK retail sales climbed more than expected in November, adding
to a picture of economic health which has the market speculating about
future rate rises.
November retail sales rose 0.6 percent on the month and 6.1 percent on
the year. Forecasts had been for a rise of just 0.1 percent on the
month and 5.8 percent on the year, against an actual fall in October
of 0.5 percent on the month.
The pound was quoted at 1.4500 shortly after the data, compared with
1.4467 beforehand and erasing a slight loss on the day.
It was at $1.9438 versus $1.9410 prior to the release and 0.14 percent
higher on the day.
Speculation over room for further interest rate hikes in 2005 is
currently boosting the strength of the pound against the majors such
as the Euro with potential in the future for a hike in the exchange
rate in favour of the sterling.
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Inter-Bank
GBP/EUR – 1.4521
GBP/USD – 1.9448
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